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中文摘要: 进入21世纪以来,我国现代物流业总体规模快速增长,服务水平显著提高,发展的环境和条件不断改善,在调整经济结构、转变发展方式、推动国民经济又好又快发展中发挥着越来越重要的作用。预计2008年我国物流业将持续健康快速发展,社会物流总额将达到90万亿元人民币,同比增长20.3%;物流业增加值达到1.93万亿元人民币,同比增长15.4%。同时,物流市场将呈现出竞争日趋激烈、增值服务潜力巨大、区域物流合作加强、物流业与制造业联动发展的态势。
Abstract:Entering the 21st century, modern logistics industry in China will play a more and more important role in the adjustment of economic structure, the change of development mode, and the quick development of the national economy. Its whole scale is rapidly growing, the service level is significantly raised, and its development environment and conditions are being improved. It can be expected that Logistics industry in China will go through a sustainable, healthy and rapid development in 2008, social logistics total amount will be RMB 90 trillion yuan, increasing 20.3% year on year. The value-added of logistics industry will reach 1.93 trillion yuan, increasing 15.4% year on year. Meanwhile, the logistics market is becoming increasingly fierce, the value-added services enjoy great potential and the regional cooperation will be strengthened, manufacturing and logistics industries is going on joint development as well.
keywords: logistics logistics industry forecasting
文章编号： 中图分类号：F259.2 文献标志码：
基金项目:
| 作者 | 单位 |
| 冯耕中 | 西安交通大学管理学院 中国科学院预测科学研究中心 |
| 汪寿阳 | 中国科学院预测科学研究中心 西安710049 北京100080 西安710049 |
| 陈宝峰 | 西安交通大学管理学院 中国科学院预测科学研究中心 |
| 朱凯誉 | 中国科学院预测科学研究中心 西安710049 北京100080 西安710049 |
引用文本：
冯耕中,汪寿阳,陈宝峰,朱凯誉.2008年我国物流业发展形势分析与预测[J].中国科学院院刊,2008,(1):37-42.
Feng Gengzhong,Wang Shouyang,Chen Baofeng,Zhu Kaiyu.Developing Trend and Analysis of China’s Logistics Industry in 2008[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2008,(1):37-42.
冯耕中,汪寿阳,陈宝峰,朱凯誉.2008年我国物流业发展形势分析与预测[J].中国科学院院刊,2008,(1):37-42.
Feng Gengzhong,Wang Shouyang,Chen Baofeng,Zhu Kaiyu.Developing Trend and Analysis of China’s Logistics Industry in 2008[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2008,(1):37-42.
