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中文摘要: 2007年爆发的美国次贷危机不断蔓延,波及到全球经济。受其影响,我国经济从2008年下半年开始出现拐点,经济增长明显放缓,经济形势严峻。为抑制经济衰退,我国政府启动了大规模刺激经济计划。2009年我国经济走势存在着很大的不确定性。本文对2009年我国经济形势进行了系统分析,利用计量分析模型对主要经济指标做出预测,并提出了相应的政策建议。
Abstract:The sub-prime mortgage loan crisis bursting in the United State in 2007 has been spreading and producing impact on the global economy.Under its influence, China’s economy witressed the turning point in the second half of 2008.Currently, the economic growth has been obviously slowing down, and the economic situation is serious.In order to curb the economic slowdown, the Chinese Government started a large-scale plan for stimulating economy.There will be great uncertainties in the economy trend in 2009 for China.This paper has given a systematic analysis of China’s economy situation in 2009, made prediction for the main economic indexes, and presented corresponding policy suggestions.
keywords: China economy situation analysis
文章编号: 中图分类号:F123.2 文献标志码:
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(70871109和70673009)资助
引用文本:
杨晓光,程建华,黄德龙.2009年中国经济形势分析[J].中国科学院院刊,2009,(1):34-41.
Yang Xiaoguang,Cheng Jianhua,Huang Delong.Analysis of China’s Economy Situation in 2009[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2009,(1):34-41.
杨晓光,程建华,黄德龙.2009年中国经济形势分析[J].中国科学院院刊,2009,(1):34-41.
Yang Xiaoguang,Cheng Jianhua,Huang Delong.Analysis of China’s Economy Situation in 2009[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2009,(1):34-41.