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中文摘要: 本文根据对国内外经济形势的分析和截至2009年11月的海关统计数据,对我国进出口总额、中美和中欧贸易进行了测算。预计我国对外贸易将于2009年第4季度触底;2010年,我国对外贸易将逐渐复苏。同时,本文重点分析了2010年我国对外贸易中需要关注的一些问题,并提出了相应的对策建议。
Abstract:The present paper has made an inference and estimate of China’s total export-import volume and Sino-American trade and Sino-European trade,on the basis of the analysis of economic situation at home and abroad and customs statistics data up to November of 2009.It is predicated that China’s foreign trade will touch ground in the fourth-quarter of 2009;in 2010,China’s foreign trade will gradually come to recovery.Meanwhile the present paper has made a selective analysis of some issues which need attention in China’s foreign trade in 2010,and proposed corresponding suggestions for countermeasure.
文章编号: 中图分类号:F752.6 文献标志码:
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中国科学院预测科学研究中心进出口预测研究课题组,张嘉为,齐晓楠,张珣,赵琳,李斌,车欣薇,徐山鹰,汪寿阳.2010年我国进出口形势分析与预测[J].中国科学院院刊,2010,(1):18-24.
.Analysis and Forecast of the Trend of China’s Import and Export in 2010[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2010,(1):18-24.
中国科学院预测科学研究中心进出口预测研究课题组,张嘉为,齐晓楠,张珣,赵琳,李斌,车欣薇,徐山鹰,汪寿阳.2010年我国进出口形势分析与预测[J].中国科学院院刊,2010,(1):18-24.
.Analysis and Forecast of the Trend of China’s Import and Export in 2010[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2010,(1):18-24.