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中文摘要: 新冠肺炎疫情短期内严重冲击了我国生产供应,加大了国内产业链加速外移的风险。文章基于当前疫情导致我国短期生产与出口供给缺口的研究,结合我国在全球生产网络和亚洲生产链的枢纽位置,就疫情对全球产业链的冲击及其引发的我国产业链加速外移风险进行了剖析。研究结果表明,疫情引起的产能缺口将对全球生产体系产生冲击,跨国企业将加快生产链布局调整,需密切关注疫情造成部分产业链加速外移的风险。最后,就企业复工保障、疫情防控和产业链布局等方面提出相关政策建议。
中文关键词: 新冠肺炎,产能缺口,全球生产网络,产业链外移
Abstract:The outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has severely impacted China’s production and supply in the short term, and increased the risk of accelerated outward relocation of domestic industry chain. Based on the measuring of China’s production and export supply gaps caused by COVID-19, and key position of China in global production network and the Asian production chain, this article analyzed the COVID-19 shock on the global production chains and the risk of accelerated China’s industrial outflow. The results show that the output gaps caused by the COVID-19 will have a deep impact on the global production system, and multinational enterprises will speed up the relocation of production chains. Therefore, the increasing risk of industrial outflow should be concerned. Finally, suggestions are put forward to efforts in the COVID-19 control, coordination on economics, and the relocation of production chains.
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作者 | 单位 |
祝坤福 高翔 杨翠红 汪寿阳 |
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引用文本:
祝坤福 高翔 杨翠红 汪寿阳.新冠肺炎疫情对全球生产体系的冲击和我国产业链加速外移的风险分析(已在2020年第3期出版)[J].中国科学院院刊,,():.
.The COVID-19 Shock on Global Production Chains and Risk of Accelerated China’s Industrial Chains Outflow[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,,():.
祝坤福 高翔 杨翠红 汪寿阳.新冠肺炎疫情对全球生产体系的冲击和我国产业链加速外移的风险分析(已在2020年第3期出版)[J].中国科学院院刊,,():.
.The COVID-19 Shock on Global Production Chains and Risk of Accelerated China’s Industrial Chains Outflow[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,,():.