(1.Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;2.Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;3.Key Laboratory of Management, Decision and Information Systems, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China;4.School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)
Abstract:Food security is crucial to national security. Thus, it is an urgent task to figure out the potential risks that threaten China's food security during the 14th Five-Year Plan period and how to cope with those risks. This paper provides an outlook for the development of China's food production during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, and then points out the potential risks faced by food production. The paper demonstrates that China's food production will achieve a steady development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, and the grain output will reach more than 690 Mt by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan period. The paper argues that the main potential risks faced by food production during the 14th Five-Year Plan period include the increasing intensive constraints on natural and labor resources, the slow development of the seed industry, the low degree of scale and mechanization, the over-concentration phenomenon, and the frequent occurrence of major events. In the end, corresponding suggestions are proposed corresponding to the above risks.
引用文本：
杨翠红,林康,高翔,陈锡康,汪寿阳.“十四五”时期我国粮食生产的发展态势及风险分析[J].中国科学院院刊,2022,37(8):1088-1098.
YANG Cuihong,LIN Kang,GAO Xiang,CHEN Xikang,WANG Shouyang.Analysis on Development and Risks of China's Food Production During 14th Five-Year Plan Period[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2022,37(8):1088-1098.
