牛文元.社会物理学与中国社会稳定预警系统[J].中国科学院院刊,2001,(1):15-20.

牛文元
科技政策与管理科学研究所!北京100080
Niu Wen-Yuan
The institute of Science Policy and Management, CAS, 100080 Beijing

         社会物理学;社会稳定;社会安全预警系统

        概述了社会物理学的产生背景和主要贡献 ,并对社会燃烧理论的构成及其对社会稳定识别的作用进行了阐述。

        Social Physics is a full interdisciplinary science between natural and human sciences. It refers that, with the law, theory, principle, thinking, and methodology of physics (and including other natural sciences), social physics faces issues of social and economical field to seek new regulation, profound mechanism, and quantitative explanation through reasonable modification and rational extension of the natural sciences. In this paper, the author designs a framework of “social stability warning system” using so-called social combustion theory. The system can be used as a powerful tool to simulate and forecast level of national stable situation.