“一带一路”倡议助推沿线国家和地区绿色发展

夏炎<sup>1</sup>; 姜青言<sup>2; 3; 4</sup>; 杨翠红<sup>2; 3; 4*</sup>; 汪寿阳<sup>2; 3; 4</sup>

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投稿时间：2021-05-21

中文摘要: 在新冠肺炎疫情暴发等事件的冲击下，全球市场对于可持续发展理念的认同度大幅提升。“一带一路”沿线国家和地区（以下简称“沿线国家”）面临着共同的生态环境和气候变化的严峻挑战。文章基于双向固定效应面板模型和区域间投入产出模型，提出了中国对外直接投资对沿线国家碳排放影响的测算模型。测算结果显示中国对沿线国家绿色发展发挥了积极减排效应，助推了沿线国家绿色投资，并基于测算结果和中国对外直接投资现状提出了4条政策建议：在重点行业开展低碳技术转型；建立连贯的绿色发展政策；建立多边绿色合作；重点发展气候金融。

中文关键词: 碳中和 “一带一路” 对外直接投资气候金融

Abstract:With the impact of COVID-19, the global market has greatly enhanced the recognition of sustainable development. Economies along the Belt and Road Initiative (herein after referred as Belt & Road countries and regions) are facing severe challenges of common ecological environment and climate change. Based on the two-way fixed effect panel model and interregional input-output model, this study puts forward a measurement model of the impact of China's outward direct investment on carbon emissions of Belt & Road countries and regions. The results show that China has played a positive role in the green development of Belt & Road countries and regions, leading the green investment of Belt & Road countries and regions. Based on the results and the current situation of China's outward direct investment, four policy suggestions are proposed, namely, carrying out low-carbon technology transformation in crucial industries, establishing a coherent green development policy, developing multilateral green cooperation, and concentrating on the development of climate finance.

keywords: carbon neutral Belt and Road Initiative outward direct investment climate finance

文章编号： 中图分类号： 文献标志码：

基金项目:中国科学院战略性先导科技专项（A类）（XDA20010102），国家自然科学基金基础科学中心项目（71988101），国家社会科学基金重大项目（19ZDA062），国家自然科学基金（71974183、5171102058）

作者	单位
夏炎¹	中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院北京 100190
姜青言^2,3,4	中国科学院预测科学研究中心北京 100190 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院北京 100190 中国科学院大学经济与管理学院北京 100049
杨翠红^2,3,4*	中国科学院预测科学研究中心北京 100190 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院北京 100190 1 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院北京 100190
汪寿阳^2,3,4	中国科学院预测科学研究中心北京 100190 中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院北京 100190 中国科学院大学经济与管理学院北京 100049

Author Name	Affiliation
XIA Yan¹	Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
JIANG Qingyan^2,3,4	Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
YANG Cuihong^2,3,4*	Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China 1 Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China
WANG Shouyang^2,3,4	Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

引用文本：
夏炎,姜青言,杨翠红,汪寿阳.“一带一路”倡议助推沿线国家和地区绿色发展[J].中国科学院院刊,2021,36(6):724-732.
XIA Yan,JIANG Qingyan,YANG Cuihong,WANG Shouyang.Belt and Road Initiative Promote Green Development of Countries and Regions along Belt & Road[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2021,36(6):724-732.